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دانلود: بررسي نقش عناصر آب وهواشناسی و آلاينده‌ها در بيماري‌هاي تنفسي و قلبي (مطالعه موردی شهركرمانشاه)

تعداد 148صفحه در فایل word

کارشناسی ارشد(M.A.)

گرایش: مخاطرات آب و هوایی

 

بررسي نقش عناصر آب وهواشناسی و آلاينده‌ها در بيماري‌هاي تنفسي و قلبي

(مطالعه موردی شهركرمانشاه)

کلید واژه: عناصر آب و هوا، آلاینده ها، بیماری های قلبی و تنفسی، پیرسون، ANOVA، Air Q، کرمانشاه

چکیده

مقدمه: اثرات پارامترهای آب و هوایی و غلظت آلایندها، که آب و هوا تأثیر زیادی در تجمع  و پراکنش آنها خصوصاً در محیط های شهری دارد. بر روی بیماری ها از مهمترین عوامل تأثیرگذار بر افزایش و کاهش مرگ و میر و ابتلا به بیماری هاست که به تبع آن به بالا بردن کیفیت زندگی به ویژه زندگی شهری کمک می کند. لذا آگاهی از عناصرآب و هوایی و غلظت آلاینده ها و تأثیر این دو بر ابتلا به بیماری ها و مرگ و میر ناشی از آنها کمک بزرگی در روند برنامه ریزی شهری جهت بالا بردن شرایط زندگی انسان می کند.

پژوهش حاضر به مطالعه و ارزیابی تأثیر عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوا بر بیماری های قلبی و تنفسی شهر کرمانشاه، با استفاده از روش های آمار توصیفی، استنباطی و ارزیابی اثرات بهداشتی با روش Air Q پرداخته است. جمعیت مورد بررسی، تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی در دورۀ آماری 2012-2008 بوده است. آمارهای مربوط به آلودگی از سازمان محیط زیست (2012-2008) و آمارهای مربوط به عناصر آب و هوایی (2012-2008) از اداره کل هواشناسی شهر کرمانشاه تهیه گردیده است.

نتایج پژوهش حاکی از آن است که با استفاده از در روش همبستگی پیرسون میزان همبستگی بین پارامترهای دما  با سطح اطمینان کمتر از 95 درصد  با تعداد بیماران تنفسی همبستگی منفی و معنی داری وجود دارد. پارامترهای رطوبت نسبی نیز با سطح اطمینان 99 درصد با تعداد بیماران تنفسی ارتباط مثبت و معنی داری وجود دارد. از میان آلاینده های مورد مطالعه در ارتباط با تعداد بیماران تنفسی، تنها همبستگی ارتباط معنی دار بین دی اکسید نیتروژن و گرد و غبار یا ذرات معلق در سطح اطمینان 95 درصد دارد. همبستگی بین متوسط دما با تعداد بیماران قلبی با سطح اطمینان 99 درصد، مثبت و معنی دار است اما همبستگی تعداد بیماران قلبی با میانگین  رطوبت نسبی، با سطح اطمینان کمتر از 95 درصد، منفی و معنی دار است. از میان آلاینده های مورد بررسی در ارتباط با تعداد بیماران قلبی با دی اکسید نیتروژن همبستگی معنی داری وجود دارد. افزایش تأثیر گذاری پارامترهای آب و هوایی ماهانه نسبت به پارامترهای آب و هوایی سالانه بیش تر بر بیماری های تنفسی بوده است. در بین پارامترهای آب و هوایی حداکثر متوسط دما بیشترین تأثیر و متوسط سرعت باد، حداکثر رطوبت و فشار هوا کم ترین تأثیر را بر بیماری تنفسی دارند. در مورد بیماری های قلبی پارامترهای آب و هوایی تأثیری نداشته و بیشترین حساسیت را نسبت به آلایندۀ اکسیدهای نیتروژن نشان می دهند. بنابراین می توان گفت در ارتباط بین پارامترهای آب و هوایی شهر کرمانشاه با بیماری های مورد مطالعه پارامتر دما بیشترین تأثیر را داشته است در حالی که متوسط سرعت باد و فشار هوا کم ترین تأثیر را دارند. در روش آزمون ANOVA  برای تعداد بیماران تنفسی بین فصول بهار و زمستان تفاوت معنی داری وجود دارد. در روش Air Q با استفاده از داده های پردازش شده توسط اکسل، خطر نسبی، بروز پایه و جزء منتسب را محاسبه نموده و حاصل کار به صورت تعداد بیماری ها نمایش می دهد.

نتیجه گیری: بیشترین همبستگی ها بین عناصر آب و هوا و تعداد بیماری های تنفسی در طی ماه های مرطوب سال بوده است. متوسط دما مهمترین عنصر آب و هوایی است که با بیماری های تنفسی و در همه فصول مرتبط بوده است و با هر واحد کاهش آن بر تعداد بیماری های تنفسی افزوده شده است. بر عکس، بیماری های قلبی بیشترین همبستگی را با دما در ماه های گرم سال داشته اند و با هر واحد افزایش دما، بر تعداد بیماران قلبی افزوده شده است. آلاینده های اکسیدهای نیتروژن و گرد و غبار با بیماری های قلبی و تنفسی ارتباط مثبت و معنی داری وجود دارند.
دسته: , برچسب: , , , , , ,

چکیده فارسی……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………ا

فهرست مطالب………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..ت

فهرست جداول…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………د

فهرست نمودارها…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….ص

                                                           فصل اول: کلیات پژوهش

1-1-مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………2

1-2- تعریف و تحدید موضوع…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………4

1-3- بیان مسأله……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..5

1-4- اهمیت و ضرورت تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….6

1-5- اهداف تحقیق…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………8

1-5-1- اهداف جزئی……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………8

1-6- سوألات تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………9

1-7- فرضیات تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..9

1-8- متغیرهای تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..10

1-8-1- متغیرهای مستقل…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………10

1-8-2- متغیرهای وابسته………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….10

1-9- جمع بندی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 10

فصل دوم: مبانی نظری و پیشینه تحقیق

2-1- مبانی نظری تحقیق…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….12

2-1-1- عناصر آب و هوایی……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….13

2-1-2- آلاینده های هوا……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………16

2-1-3- بیماری های تنفسی……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..21

2-1-4- بیماری های قلبی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………22

2-2- بررسی منابع………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..22

2-2-1- منابع خارجی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..22

2-2-2- منابع داخلی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….30

2-3- جمع بندی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..36

فصل سوم: ویژگی های جغرافیایی و آب و هوایی

3-1- مشخصات جغرافیایی منطقه مورد مطالعه………………………………………………………………………………………………….38

3-2- وضعیت توپوگرافی و شکل زمین(ارتفاع، شیب و جهت) شهرستان کرمانشاه…………………………………………..39

3-3- وضعیت آب و هوایی منطقه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..40

3-3-1- دما………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..40

3-3-1-1- متوسط دما، متوسط حداکثر و متوسط حداقل دما………………………………………………………………………………………..40

3-3-2- بررسی وضعیت رطوبت نسبی منطقه مورد مطالعه…………………………………………………………………………………………….41

3-3-3- بررسی وضعیت بارش در منطقه مورد مطالعه……………………………………………………………………………………………………..42

3-3-3-1- بارندگی سالانه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..43

3-3-3-2- بارندگی ماهانه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….43

3-3-4- بررسی وضعیت باد در منطقه مورد مطالعه………………………………………………………………………………………………………….44

فصل چهارم: مواد و روش ها

4-1- مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….48

4-2- ایستگاه هواشناسی منطقه مورد مطالعه……………………………………………………………………………………………………..48

4-3- متغیرهای مورد نیاز(عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه و بیماری های قلبی و تنفسی)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….49

4-4- مواد و روش ها…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….50

4-4-1- گرد آوری داده های مورد استفاده در پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………….50

4-4-2- روش های مورد نیاز در پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..50

4-4-2-1- تحلیل واریانس (ANOVA)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..51

4-4-2-2- ضریب همبستگی پیرسون………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………52

4-4-2-3- ارزیابی اثرات بهداشتی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….54

4-4-2-3-1- تهیه فایل ورودی مدل Air Q2.2.3 از داده های خام……………………………………………………………………………55

4-4-2-3-2- پردازش داده ها……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………56

4-4-2-3-3- تصحیح دما، فشار و انطباق واحدها با مدل…………………………………………………………………………………………………56

4-4-2-3-4- فیلترینگ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..58

4-4-2-3-5- کمی سازی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….58

4-5- جمع بندی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..62

فصل پنجم: تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها

5-1- مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….64

5-2- یافته های توصیفی……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..64

5-2-1- آمار توصیفی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………65

5-3- یافته های استنباطی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..71

5-3-1- یافته های آماری پیرسون…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….72

5-3-1-1- همبستگی بین عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده ها با تعداد بیماران تنفسی و قلبی………………………………………….72

5-3-1-2- همبستگی بین تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی با فصول در دوره مطالعاتی 2012-2008……………………………..82

5-3-1-3- همبستگی بین تعداد بیماران قلبی و عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوا………………………………………………..85

5-3-1-4- همبستگی تعداد بیماران تنفسی و متغیرهای آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوا………………………………………………86

5-3-1-5- همبستگی توأم متغیرهای آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوا…………………………………………………………………………….88

5-3-2- یافته های روش آزمون ANOVA………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….103

5-3-2-1- تغییرات فصلی تعداد بیماران………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..104

5-3-2-2- همبستگی توأم متغیرهای آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوا با روش آزمون ANOVA…………………………….105

5-3-3- نتایج Air Q ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………106

5-3-3-1- نتایج کمی سازی اثر PM10 در سال 2011………………………………………………………………………………………………..106

5-3-3-2- نتایج کمی سازی اثر NO2 در سال 2011………………………………………………………………………………………………….109

5-3-3-3- نتایج کمی سازی اثر SO2 در سال 2011…………………………………………………………………………………………………..112

5-3-3-4- نتایج کمی سازی اثر PM10 در سال 2012………………………………………………………………………………………………..115

5-3-3-5- نتایج کمی سازی اثر NO2 در سال 2012………………………………………………………………………………………………….118

5-3-3-6- نتایج کمی سازی اثر SO2 در سال 2012…………………………………………………………………………………………………..121

5-4- جمع بندی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..124

فصل ششم: نتیجه گیری و پیشنهادات

6-1- مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..127

6-2- مروری بر خطوط کلی پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………127

6-3- نتایج مهم پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….128

6-3-1- نتایج روش همبستگی پیرسون………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….128

6-3-2- نتایج روش ANOVA ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………129

6-4- بحث و نتیجه گیری………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….130

6-4-1- بحث و نتیجه گیری Air Q ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..132

6-5- پیشنهادات………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..138

6-6- محدودیت ها……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..139

منابع و ماّخذ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….140

فهرست جداول

جدول(2-1)- تأثیرات آلاینده های اصلی بر سلامت انسان…………………………………………………………………………………20

جدول 4-1- مشخصات ایستگاه سینوپتیک کرمانشاه…………………………………………………………………………………………49

جدول (4-2)- آزمون …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………51

جدول 4-3- متغير هاي مورد مطالعه به تفكيك نوع متغير، تعريف ، نحوه اندازه …………………………………………….54

جدول 4-3-  واحدهای سنجش شده توسط ایستگاه های ادارۀ حفاظت محیط زیست کرمانشاه و واحدهای مورد نیاز مدل چهار آلاینده معیار………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….56

جدول شماره4-4- نمونه ای از تصحیح دما و فشار برای آلاینده ها SO2 در ایستگاه استانداری شهر کرمانشاه…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………57

جدول (5-1)- توزیع زمانی میانگین تعداد بیماری ها به تفکیک بیماران قلبی و تنفسی شهر کرمانشاه در دوره (2012-2008)……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..64

جدول(5-2)- آمار توصیفی تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی و آلاینده ها در طی دوره مطالعاتی 2012-2008….65

جدول(5-3) – آمار توصیفی تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی و عناصر اقلیمی در طی دوره مطالعاتی 2012-2008…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….65

جدول (5-4)- محاسبه شاخص های آماری تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی و آلاینده های شهر کرمانشاه در فصول مختلف سال (2012-2008)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..67

جدول (5-5)- محاسبه شاخص های آماری تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی و عناصر آب و هوا شهر کرمانشاه در فصول مختلف سال (2012-2008)……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..67

جدول (5-6)- محاسبه شاخص های آماری تعداد بیمارا قلبی و تنفسی در ماه های (ژانویه- دسامبر)…………….69

جدول (5-7)- محاسبه شاخص های آماری تعداد بیمارا قلبی و تنفسی و عناصر آب و هوا در ماه های (ژانویه – دسامبر)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….70

جدول (5-8)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی عناصر آب و هوایی و  آلاینده های شهر کرمانشاه(سال 2008 ).  ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………73

جدول (5-9)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی عناصر آب و  هوایی و آلاینده ها ی شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2009)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….73

جدول (5-10)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی   عناصر آب و  هوایی و آلاینده ها ی شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2010).   …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….75

  جدول (5-11)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2011).    ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………75

جدول (5-12)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی عناصر آب و هوایی و  آلاینده های شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2012).    ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………77                                                     جدول (5-13)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی عناصر آب و  هوایی و آلاینده ها ی شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2008). ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….77

جدول (5-14)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی   عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2010)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….80

جدول (5-15)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی عناصر آب و  هوایی و آلاینده ها ی شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2009). ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..80

جدول (5-16)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی عناصر آب و  هوایی و آلاینده ها ی شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2011).  ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………81                                   جدول (5-17)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی عناصر آب و  هوایی و آلاینده ها ی شهر کرمانشاه (سال 2012)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….81

جدول (5-18)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی بیماران قلبی با عناصر ذکر شده و آلاینده های شهر کرمانشاه بر حسب فصول (2012-2008)……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….89

جدول(5-19)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی بیماران تنفسی با عناصر ذکر شده و آلاینده های شهر کرمانشاه بر حسب فصول (2012-2008)……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….90

جدول (5-20)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل زمستان)…………………………………………………………………………………………………………91

جدول (5-21)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل بهار)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..92

جدول (5-22)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل تابستان)…………………………………………………………………………………………………………93

جدول (5-23)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران قلبی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل پاییز)………………………………………………………………………………………………………………94

جدول (5-24)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل زمستان)……………………………………………………………………………………………….95

جدول (5-25)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل بهار)………………………………………………………………………………………………………96

جدول (5-26)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل تابستان)……………………………………………………………………………………………….97

جدول (5-27)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون تعداد بیماران تنفسی با عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در طی دوره (فصل پاییز)…………………………………………………………………………………………………….98

جدول (5-28)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی پیرسون توأم عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه با تعداد بیماری های قلبی و تنفسی در دوره مطالعه (2012-2008)……………………………………………………………………99

جدول (5-29)- آزمون ANOVA   توأم عناصر آب و هوایی و آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه با تعداد بیماری های قلبی و تنفسی در دوره مطالعه (2012-2008)……………………………………………………………………………..99

جدول(5-30)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی ANOVA  تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی بین پارامترهای اقلیمی شهر کرمانشاه در دوره مطالعه (2012-2008)…………………………………………………………………………………………………100

جدول(5-31)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی ANOVA  تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی بین پارامترهای اقلیمی ماهانه شهر کرمانشاه…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..100

جدول(5-32)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی ANOVA  تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی بین پارامترهای اقلیمی شهر کرمانشاه در فصول مختلف…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………101

جدول(5-33)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی ANOVA  تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی با آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در دوره مطالعه (2012-2008)…………………………………………………………………………………………………………101

جدول(5-34)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی ANOVA  تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی با آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در فصول مختلف.

جدول(5-35)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی ANOVA  تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی با آلاینده های هوای شهر کرمانشاه در فصول مختلف…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………102

جدول(5-36)- آزمون ضریب همبستگی ANOVA  تعداد بیماران قلبی و تنفسی با آلاینده های هوای ماهانه شهر کرمانشاه …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….102

جدول (5-37)– تفاوت بین فصول مختلف از نظر تعداد بیماران ناشی از بیماری های قلبی و تنفسی………….105

جدول(5-38) – غلظت های ( 2011)PM10 بر حسب میکروگرم در مترمکعب برای استفاده در مدل……….107

جدول(5-39) – بر آورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به (2011)PM10 برای بیماری های تنفسی(1260(BI=……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………107

جدول (5-40)- برآورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به(2011 )PM10 برای بیماری های قلبی (436(BI=………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..107

جدول (5-41)- غلظت های ( 2011)NO2 بر حسب میکروگرم در مترمکعب برای استفاده در مدل…………110

جدول (5-42)- بر آورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به (2011)NO2 برای بیماری های تنفسی(66(BI=…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………110

جدول (5-43)- برآورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به(2011 )NO2 برای بیماری های قلبی (132(BI=………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..110

جدول (5-44)- غلظت های ( 2011)SO2  بر حسب میکروگرم در مترمکعب برای استفاده در مدل………….113

جدول (5-45)- بر آورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به (2011)  SO2برای بیماری های تنفسی(66(BI=…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………113

جدول (5-46)- برآورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به(2011 )SO2 برای بیماری های قلبی (132(BI=………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..113

جدول (5-47)- غلظت های ( 2012)PM10  بر حسب میکروگرم در مترمکعب برای استفاده در مدل……….116

جدول (5-48)- بر آورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به (2012) 10 PM برای بیماری های تنفسی(1260(BI=……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….116

جدول (5-49)- برآورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به(2012 )PM10 برای بیماری های قلبی (436(BI=………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..116

جدول (5-50)- غلظت های ( 2012)NO2  بر حسب میکروگرم در مترمکعب برای استفاده در مدل………….119

جدول (5-51) – بر آورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به (2012)2    NOبرای بیماری های تنفسی(66(BI=……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………119

جدول (5-52)- برآورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به(2012 )NO2 برای بیماری های قلبی (123(BI=………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..119

جدول (5-53)- غلظت های ( 2012)SO2  بر حسب میکروگرم در مترمکعب برای استفاده در مدل…………..122

جدول (5-54)- بر آورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به (2012)2    SOبرای بیماری های تنفسی(66(BI=…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………122

جدول (5-55)- برآورد شاخص های خطر نسبی، جزء منتسب و موارد منتسب به(2012 )SO2 برای بیماری های قلبی (123(BI=………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..122

فهرست نمودار و شکل ها

نمودار3-1- متوسط، حداقل و حداکثر دمای ماهانه ایستگاه سینوپتیک کرمانشاه (1962-2012)………………….41

نمودار (3-2) متوسط رطوبت نسبی ماهانه و توزیع حداکثر و حداقل رطوبت نسبی ایستگاه سینوپتیک شهر کرمانشاه (2012-1962).……………………………………………………………………………………………………………42

بارش سالیانه

نمودار 3-3- تغییرات بارندگی سالانه ایستگاه کرمانشاه در طی دوره آماری (2012-1962)……………………………43

نمودار 3-4- نمودار تغییرات بارش ماهانه ایستگاه کرمانشاه در طی دوره آماری (2012-1962)…………………….44

نمودار(3-5)- توزیع وزش و درصد فراوانی باد ایستگاه سینوپتیک کرمانشاه (2012-2000)…………………………..45

نمودار(5-1)- تعداد کل بیماران تنفسی شهر کرمانشاه در دوره (2012-2008)………………………………………………66

نمودار(5-2)- تعداد کل بیماران قلبی شهر کرمانشاه در دوره (2012-2008)………………………………………………….66

نمودار (5-3)- توزیع میانگین فصول مختلف سال تعداد بیماران تنفسی در دوره (2012-2008)…………………..68

………………………68 نمودار (5-4)- توزیع میانگین فصول مختلف سال تعداد بیماران قلبی در دوره (2012-2008)

نمودار (5-5)- توزیع میانگین ماهانه تعداد بیماران تنفسی کرمانشاه در دوره (2012-2008)………………………..71

نمودار (5-6)- توزیع میانگین ماهانه تعداد بیماران قلبی کرمانشاه در دوره (2012-2008)……………………………71

نمودار(5-7) – رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های تنفسی منتسب به (2011)PM10  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….108

نمودار (5-8)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های قلبی منتسب به (2011)PM10 در براب فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….108

نمودار (5-9)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های تنفسی منتسب به (2011)NO2  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….111

نمودار (5-10)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های قلبی منتسب به (2011)NO2  در براب فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….111

نمودار (5-11)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های تنفسی منتسب به (2011) SO2  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….114

نمودار (5-12)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های قلبی منتسب به (2011)SO2  در براب فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….114

نمودار (5-13)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های تنفسی منتسب به (2012) PM10  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………117

نمودار (5-14)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های قلبی منتسب به (2012)PM10  در براب فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….117

نمودار (5-15)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی مواد بیماری های تنفسی منتسب به (2012) NO2  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….120

نمودار (5-16)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های قلبی منتسب به (2012)NO2  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….120

نمودار (5-17)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی مواد بیماری های تنفسی منتسب به (2012) SO2  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….123

نمودار (5-18)- رابطه میان تعداد تجمعی موارد بیماری های قلبی منتسب به (2012)SO2  در برابر فواصل غلظت توسط مدل در کرمانشاه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….123

شکل 3-1-موقعیت جغرافیایی شهرکرمانشاه در استان……………………………………………………………………………………….38

شکل 4-1- نمایش مراحل انجام فرایند کمی سازی اثرات بهداشتی آلودگی هوا………………………………………………55

شکل 4-2- نمایش صفحه ( Data Supplier) AirQ user در مدل……………………………………………………………58

شکل 4-3- نمایش صفحه Location در مدل………………………………………………………………………………………………….59

شکل 4-4- نمایش صفحه Air Quality Data در مدل…………………………………………………………………………………60

شکل 4-5- نمایش صفحه Parameter در مدل……………………………………………………………………………………………….61

شکل شماره 4-6- نمایش صفحه Table در مدل………………………………………………………………………………………………62

495 دیدگاه برای دانلود: بررسي نقش عناصر آب وهواشناسی و آلاينده‌ها در بيماري‌هاي تنفسي و قلبي (مطالعه موردی شهركرمانشاه)

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