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دانلود پروژه:مطالعه آثار تجارت با چین بر اشتغال بخش صنعت ایران
تعداد 151صفحه در فایلwordکارشناسي ارشد در رشته علوم اقتصادیعنوان:مطالعه آثار تجارت با چین بر اشتغال بخش صنعت ایرانچكيده:امروزه بسياري از کشورها براي بهرهمندي از مزاياي تجارت، اقتصاد خود را با اقتصاد کشورهاي ديگر درهمآميختهاند. تجارت باعث تقسيم نيروي کار و تخصصگرايي، صرفهجوييهاي مقياس و بالا رفتن سطح استاندارد زندگي ميشود و رقابت را تشويق میکند. زماني که کشورها به مبادلات تجاري روي ميآورند، انتظار ميرود بخشهاي مختلف اقتصاد و شاخصهاي کلان اقتصادي از اين رابطه تاثير بپذيرد. اين تاثيرات ميتواند مثبت يا منفي باشد. ميزان بهرهمندي يک کشور از يک رابطه تجاري به برآيند اين اثرات مثبت و منفي بستگي دارد. در طول ساليان اخير چين به عنوان يکي از شرکاي مهم تجاري دنيا و از جمله کشور ايران مطرح شده است. اين مطالعه با بررسي آثار اشتغال رابطه تجاري ايران و چين، ميزان بهرهمندي کشور ايران از اين سياست را محک میزند. بررسي آمارهاي تجارت ايران با چين حاکي از آن است که در دوره 1375 تا 1386، همواره چين قدرت برتر اين رابطه دوطرفه بوده است. در مطالعه حاضر تلاش ميشود با استفاده از دادههاي ترکيبي براي بخش صنعت بر اساس کدهاي 2 رقمي ISIC طي دوره زماني 1375 تا 1386و استفاده از روش panel data، اثر تجارت با چين بر اشتغال بخشهاي صنعتي اقتصاد ايران بررسي شود. نتايج بررسيها براي 22 بخش صنعتي حاکی از آن است که واردات از چين باعث کاهش سطح اشتغال میشود و صادرات ايران به چين، به خلق فرصتهاي اشتغال کمک ميکند. به دليل نقش پررنگتر واردات، نتيجه نهايي تاثير منفي تجارت با چين بر اشتغال بخش صنعت ايران است. همچنين دستمزد حقيقي نيروي کار رابطه معکوس و معناداري با اشتغال بخش صنعت ايران دارد و ارزش افزوده بخش صنعت، ايجاد فرصتهاي اشتغال را به دنبال دارد. |
واژههاي کليدي: تجارت، اشتغال، چين، بخش صنعت. |
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