فهرست مطالب
عنوان صفحه
چکیده فارسی ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 1
فصل اول: کلیات تحقیق
1-1-مقدمه. 3
1-2- بیان مسأله. 4
1-3- اهداف تحقیق. 6
1-4-سوال های تحقیق. 7
1-5- فرضیات تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………….. 7
1-6- مبانی نظری تحقیق. 8
1-7- روش تحقیق: 9
1-8- روش گردآوری و تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها و اطلاعات.. 10
1-9- قلمروی تحقیق. 11
1-10- جامعهو نمونه آماری………………………………………………………………………………….. 11
1-11 – محدودیت های تحقیق. 13
1-12- تعریف مفهومی و عملیاتی اصطلاحات و متغیرها 14
1-12-1- تعریف مفهومی متغیرها 14
1-12-2- تعریف عملیاتی متغیرها 16
1-13 – جمع بندی.. 19
فصل دوم: ادبیات و مبانی نظری تحقیق
1-2- مقدمه. 21
2-2- نقش بورس اوراق بهادار در اقتصاد ملی و منطقه ای.. 22
2-3- ارزیابی عملکرد و ارتباط آن با کارایی.. 23
2-3-1-کارایی بازار. 23
2-3-2 تعریف کارایی.. 24
2-3-3- انواع کارایی.. 25
2-3-4- روش های اندازه گیری کارایی.. 26
2-3-5-رگرسیون و تحلیل پوششی داده ها: 27
2-4- تحلیل پوششی داده ها 28
2-4-1-کاربرد های مالی تکنیک DEA.. 31
2-4-2- مدل های تحلیل پوششی داده 32
2-4-2-1مدل نسبتCCR.. 32
2-4-2-2مدل پوششی CCR ورودی محور. 33
2-4-2-3مدل پوششی CCR خروجی محور. 33
2-4-2-4مدل نسبت BCC.. 34
2-4-2-5 مدل پوششی BCC ورودی محور. 35
2-4-2-6مدل پوششی BCC خروجی محور. 35
2-4-2-7مدل جمعی.. 36
2-4-2-8 مدل جمعی موزون. 36
2-4-2- 9-مدل های جمعی وبازده به مقیاس… 37
2-4-2-10 – مدل SBM پوششی ورودی محور. 38
2-4-2-11 مدل سوپر کارای تحلیل پوششی داده ها 39
2-4-2-11-1- فرم پوششی و مضربی مدل ابرکارایی تحت بازده به مقیاس ثابت ماهیت ورودی.. 39
2-4-2-11-2 – مدل ابرکارایی تحت بازده به مقیاس متغیر ماهیت ورودی و خروجی.. 40
2-5 تعریف و تشریح نرخ بازده سهام. 42
2-5-1 نرخ بازده سرمایه گذاری.. 43
2-5-2 اجزای بازده سهام. 44
2-5-3 معیارهای ارزیابی عملکرد و بازده سهام. 47
2-6 – مدل مفهومی/تحلیلی پژوهش… 49
2-7 – تحقیقات مرتبط.. 49
2-7-1- تحقیقات داخلی.. 50
2-7-2 -تحقیقات خارجی.. 53
2-8 جمع بندی.. 59
فصل سوم: روش اجرای تحقیق
3-1- مقدمه. 61
3-2- روش تحقیق. 61
3-3- قلمرو مکانی و زمانی تحقیق. 62
3-4 جامعه و نمونه ی آماری تحقیق. 63
3-5 – ابزار گردآوری داده ها و اطلاعات.. 65
3-6- معرفی ساختار و روش تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها: 66
3-6-1 فرم پوششی مدل ابرکارایی تحت بازده به مقیاس ثابت ماهیت ورودی: 66
3-6-2 ضریب همبستگی پیرسون. 70
3-6-3 آزمون مقایسه میانگین دو جامعه آماری.. 71
3-7 -شاخص ها/فرضیه ها 72
3-8 فرضیه های تحقیق. 73
3-9- گام های محاسباتی پژوهش… 74
3-10 جمع آوری داده ها 75
3-11 جمع بندی.. 79
فصل چهارم: تحلیل اطلاعات
4-1-مقدمه. 81
4-2- آمار توصیفی متغیر های DEA.. 81
4-3- سنجش کارایی حاصل از حل مدل. 82
4-4تجزیه و تحلیل نتایج کارایی فنی.. 85
4-5 رتبه بندی واحد های کارا 90
4-6 آمار توصیفی متغیر بازده سهام. 90
4-6-1 توصیف متغیر بازده سهام. 90
4-7 آزمون نرمال بودن داده ها: 91
4-7-1 آزمون کولموگروف-اسميرنوف: 91
4-8 آزمون فرضیات با استفاده از آزمون همبستگی پیرسن و T استیودنت : 92
4-9 جمع بندی: 96
فصل پنجم: نتیجه گیری و پیشنهادات تحقیق
5-1 مقدمه. 98
5-2نتایج تحقیق. 98
5-2-1 نتایج حاصل از آمار توصیفی.. 98
5-2-2 نتایج حاصل از سنجش کارایی به روش DEA (مدلسازی) 99
5-2-3 نتایج آمار استنباطی.. 100
5-3 نتیجه گیری و ارائه پیشنهاداتی بر مبنای یافته های تحقیق. 101
5-4 محدودیت های تحقیق. 102
ی |
5-5 پیشنهادها برای مطالعه ی آینده 103
منابع…………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 105
پیوست………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 110
ک |
فهرست جدول ها
عنوان صفحه
جدول 1-1 جامعه/نمونه آماری…………………………………………………………………………………. 12
جدول 2-2 مدل های جمعی و بازدهی به مقیاس… 37
جدول 2-3خلاصه ای از تحقیقات صورت گرفته در حوزه سنجش کارایی با تکیه بر مفاهیم مالی.. 58
جدول 3-1-1 داده های مربوط به شاخص های مدل تحلیل پوششی داده ها سال 1387. 75
جدول 3-1-2 داده های مربوط به شاخص های مدل تحلیل پوششی داده ها سال 1388. 76
جدول 3-1-3 داده های مربوط به شاخص های مدل تحلیل پوششی داده ها سال 1389. 77
جدول 3-1-4 داده های مربوط به بازده سهام سال 1388،1389،1390. 78
جدول 3-2 جمع بندی نهایی 79
جدول 4-1 آمار توصیفی متغیر های DEA.. 81
جدول 4-2-1 امتیاز کارایی حاصل از DEA برای سال های 1387-1389 ، و معرفی واحدهای الگو. 82
جدول 4-2-2 تعیین مقادیر مازاد و کمبود برای هر یک از واحدها در سه دوره مالی.. 83
جدول 4-3 خروجی کلی نرم افزار GAMS با داده های سال 1378……………………………………………………… 86
جدول 4-4 خروجی کلی نرم افزار GAMS با داده های سال 1389. 89
جدول 4-5 رتبه بندی واحدهای کارا 90
جدول 4-6 آمار توصیفی بازده سهام. 90
جدول 4-7 آزمون کلمگروف-اسمیرنوف.. 92
جدول 4-8 نتیجه آزمون فرضیه اول. 93
جدول 4-9 میانگین،انحراف معیار و تعداد متغیرهای مورد مطالعه. 94
جدول 4-10 نتایج آزمون فرضیه دوم. 95
جدول 5-1- خلاصه ای از نتایج حاصل از آمار توصیفی متغیرها…………………………………… 98
ل |
فهرست نمودارها
عنوان صفحه
نمودار 2-1 مرز کارایی DEA و رگرسیون. 28
نمودار4-1 هیستوگرام بازده سهام. 91
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