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      هدف از این تحقیق تعیین رابطه بین تغییر در دارایی ها، تغییرات در بدهی ها، تغییرات در ارزش ویژه و تغییر در فروش و ارزش افزوده اقتصادی تعریف گردیدند. به روش تصادفی ساده از بین شرکت های منتخب بورسی 104 شرکت انتخاب و در بازه زمانی 5 ساله منتهی به 29/12/1392 مورد مطالعه قرار گرفت. تحلیل پیش فرض ها بر مبنای آزمون های کولموگروف- اسمیرونوف، دوربین واتسون، فیشر و تحلیل همبستگی و نهایتاً آزمون های چاو وهاسمن نشان داد که کلیه پیش فرض های استفاده از رگرسیون خطی مرکب مبتنی بر تحلیل داده های تابلویی با اثرات ثابت برقرار بوده است. نتایج تحقیق نشان داد که:

1) بین تغییر در دارایی ها، تغییر در ارزش ویژه و تغییر در فروش با ارزش افزوده اقتصادی رابطه نسبتاً قوی مستقیم خطی وجود دارد. 2) بین تغییر در بدهی ها و ارزش افزوده اقتصادی رابطه نسبتاً قوی معکوس خطی وجود دارد. 3) رابطه بین تغییر در متغیرهای بنیادی حسابداری با ارزش افزوده در سطح 95 درصد اطمینان به جامعه آماری قابل تعمیم است. 4) رابطه برآوردی قریب به 83 درصد از تغییرات بین متغیرها را بیان کرده و حاکی از رابطه نسبتاً قوی بین آن ها بوده است.

واژگان کلیدی: متغیرهای بنیادی، ارزش افزوده اقتصادی، تغییر در فروش، تغییر در دارایی ها

فهرست مطالب

 

چکیده………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ح

1-1- مقدمه…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 2

1-2- بیان مسئله………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 4

1-3- بیان مسئله تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 6

1-4- اهداف پژوهش……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 9

1-4-1- اهداف علمی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 10

1-4-2- اهداف کاربردی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 10

1-5- پرسش های تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 11

1-6- فرضیه های تحقیق…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 11

1-7- مدل مفهومی پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 12

1-8- روش کلی پژوهش……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 13

1-9-  قلمرو پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 14

1-10- تعاریف واژگان کلیدی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 15

1-11- ساختار پژوهش ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………  16

فصل دوم مروری بر ادبیات تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 18

2-1- مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 19

2-2- تركيب سرمايه و تغییرات دارایی‌ها………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 19

2-3- مديريت مبتني بر ارزش………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 20

2-4- مديريت مبتني بر ارزش در عمل…………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 24

2-5- سازمان چگونه ارزش خلق مي كند؟………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 25

2-6- ارزش افزوده اقتصادی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 27

2-7- دلایل مطرح شدن ارزش افزوده اقتصادی………………………………………………………………………………………………. 28

2-8- تعريف ارزش افزوده اقتصادی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 30

2-9- محاسبه ارزش افزوده اقتصادی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 31

2-10- ارزش افزوده اقتصادی سهام…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 32

2-11- پیشینه تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 34

فصل سوم روش اجرای تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 52

3-1- مقدمه…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 53

3-2- روش کلی پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 54

3-3- جامعه آماري پژوهش……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 54

3-4- تعیین حجم نمونه پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 56

3-5- روش نمونه گیری……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 57

3-6- روش های گردآوری داده ها……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 58

3-7- ابزار گردآوری داده ها……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 60

3-8- پایایی و اعتبار ابزار تحقیق…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 60

3-9- مدل تحقیق…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 61

3-10- روش ها و ابزار تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 63

3-11- روش اثراث ثابت…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 71

فصل چهارم یافته های تحقیق…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 74

4-1- مقدمه……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 75

4-2- توصيف جامعه آماري……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 76

4-3- توصيف نمونه آماري……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 78

4-4- توصيف يافته هاي تحقيق………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 79

4-5- تحلیل پیش فرض ها……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 80

4-6- تعیین رابطه ارزش افزوده اقتصادی و تغییر در متغیرهای بنیادی…………………………………………………………… 90

4-6-1- رابطه بین تغییر در دارایی ها و ارزش افزوده……………………………………………………………………………………….. 92

4-6-2- رابطه بین تغییر در بدهی ها و ارزش افزوده اقتصادی………………………………………………………………………… 94

4-6-3- رابطه بین تغییر در ارزش ویژه و ارزش افزوده اقتصادی…………………………………………………………………….. 96

4-6-4- رابطه بین تغییر فروش و ارزش افزوده اقتصادی………………………………………………………………………………… 98

4-7- جمع بندی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 99

فصل پنجم نتیجه‌گیری و پیشنهادات……………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 103

5-1- مقدمه…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 104

5-2- خلاصه پژوهش……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 105

5-3- نتیجه گیری………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 108

5-3-1- فرضیه فرعی اول تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 108

5-3-2- فرعی دوم تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 110

5-3-3- فرضیه فرعی سوم تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 113

5-3-4- نتایج آزمون فرضیه فرعی چهارم تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………… 115

5-3-5- فرضیه اصلی تحقیق………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 117

5-4- محدودیت‌های تحقیق…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 118

5-5- پیشنهادهایی مبتنی بر نتایج تحقیق……………………………………………………………………………………………………. 120

پيوستها…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 122

منابع……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 131

 

فهرست جداول

 

جدول (2-1): پیشینه تحقیق ………………………………………………….……………………………………………48

جدول (3-1): تعریف مرزهای جامعه آماری………………………………………………………………………………………………….55

جدول (4-1): تعریف مرزهای جامعه آماری……………………………………………………………………………..77

جدول (4-2): توزيع نمونه آماري به تفكيك صنعت……………….……………………………….…………………….78

جدول (4-3): توصيف يافته هاي تحقيق …………………………….………………………………………………………79

جدول (4-4): نتايج آزمون نرمال بودن متغیر وابسته تحقیق………………………………………………………..81

جدول (4-5): نتايج آزمون نرمال بودن متغیر وابسته تحقیق بعد از فرآیند نرمال سازی……….……………… 83

جدول (4-6): آزمون کولموگروف اسمیرنوف برای متغیرهای مستقل………………………………………………….84

جدول(4-7): آزمون مجدد کولموگروف اسمیرنوف برای متغیرهای مستقل………………………………..…………84

جدول(4-8): تحليل استقلال خطي بين متغيرهاي مستقل……………………………………………..…………….. 85

جدول(4-9): ارزیابی استقلال خطاهای رابطه ارزش افزوده…………………………………………………………… 87

جدول(4-10): ارزیابی نرمال بودن توزیع خطاهای مدل برآوردی…….…………….…………………………………………… 87

جدول(4-11): آزمون همسانی واریانس ها(وایت)………………………..…………………………….………………....89

جدول(4-12): نتایج آزمون چاو و هاسمن براي رابطه ارزش افزوده…………………………………………………..90

جدول(4-13): برآورد رابطه بین ارزش افزوده اقتصادی و متغیرهای بنیادی…………………………………………..91

 

 

فهرست اشکال

شکل (3-1): مدل مفهومی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….63

شکل (4-1)و (4-2): ارزيابي نرمال بودن توزيع متغير وابسته……………………………………………………………………….82

شکل (4-3): نمایش نرمال بودن توزیع متغیر وابسته………………………………………………… ……………………………….83

 

 

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