فهرست مطالب
عنوان صفحه
1-5- مروری بر مطالعات انجام شده 11
%37تخفیف
بررسی عوامل موثر بر صادرات انجیر خشک ایران
این فایل در 68 صفحه فایل word قابل ویرایش می باشد.
چکیده
افزایش صادرات محصولات کشاورزی در ایران می تواند یکی از اقدامات ضروری در رهایی از صادرات تک قطبی باشد. ایران یکی از مهمترین تأمین کنندگان میوه های خشک در کشورهای آسیای غربی و اروپا می باشد. انجیر خشک از نظر میزان صادرات در بین گروه میوه های خشک جایگاه چهارم را به خود اختصاص داده است. در این راستا، بررسی نحوه تأثیر عوامل موثر بر صادرات بخش کشاورزی از اهمیت ویژه ای برخوردار است. در پژوهش حاضر، عوامل موثر بر صادرات انجیر خشک ایران در سال های 1389-1350 با استفاده از الگوی خودرگرسیون با وقفه های گسترده (ARDL) تعیین گردید. آمار و اطلاعات از داده های FAOو بانک مرکزی استخراج و با استفاده از نرم افزار Microfit4 تجزیه و تحلیل شد. نتایج حاکی از آن است که در بلند مدت تغییرات نرخ ارز، قیمت صادراتی انجیرخشک و تولید داخلی تاثیر مستقیم و معنی دار بر میزان صادرات میوه انجیر دارد. سایر نتایج نشان می دهد که در کوتاه مدت متغیرهای مجازی شامل دخالت دولت و عوامل سیاسی بیشترین تأثیر را در میزان صادرات انجیر خشک ایران دارد. محاسبه ضریب تصحیح خطا در کوتاه مدت به میزان 60 درصد صحت این ادعا را تأیید می نماید. در پایان به منظور مدیریت مناسب راهکارهای بهبود صادرات پیشنهاداتی ارائه شده است.
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