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دانلود محصول:بررسی رابطه بین محدودیت در تامین مالی و ریسک ورشکستگی شرکت¬های پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران

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چکيده

هدف اين پژوهش، بررسي تأثیر محدودیت تأمین مالی بر ریسک ورشکستگی شرکت‌هاي پذيرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران است. در این راستا با استفاده از شاخص kz جهت اندازه­گیری محدودیت تأمین مالی و برای سنجش ریسک ورشکستگی نیز از امتیاز Z’ آلتمن و مدل ژنتیک فرج­زاده استفاده گردید.

در راستاي تحقق اهداف پژوهش، چهار فرضیه اصلی تدوين و جهت آزمون فرضیه ها از رگرسیون لجستیک به تفکیک صنایع استفاده گردید. نمونه آماري پژوهش شامل 98 شرکت در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران  طي بازه زماني ده ساله 1383-1392 می‌باشد. نتایج حاصل از تجزيه و تحليل فرضيه­هاي پژوهش نشان مي­دهد که بین محدودیت تأمین مالی با ریسک ورشکستگی شرکت‌ها ارتباط معناداری وجود دارد.

کلید­­ واژه­ها: محدودیت تامین مالی، ریسک ورشکستگی، بورس اوراق بهادار

 

فهرست مطالب

 

عنوان                                                                                                                صفحه

فصل اول: کليات پژوهش……………………………………………………………………………….7-1

1-1-        مقدمه……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 1

1-2-        بیان مسأله پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………..1

1-3-        اهميت و ضرورت پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………2

1-4-        هدف پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….3

1-5-        سؤال­های پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………….3

1-6-         فرضيه‌هاي پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………..3

1-7-        متغیرهای پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………………3

1-7-1- متغیرهای مستقل…………………………………………………………………………………………………………3

1-7-2- متغیر وابسته…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………4

1-7-3- متغیرهای کنترلی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………4

1-8-        روش اجراي پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………5

1-8-1- روش پژوهش و گردآوري داده­ها………………………………………………………………………………….5

1-8-2- جامعه آماري و نمونه پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………5

1-8-3- روش تجزيه و تحليل داده‌ها…………………………………………………………………………………………5

1-9-        استفاده‌کنندگان از نتیجه پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………6

1-10-    تعریف واژه‌های کلیدی………………………………………………………………………………………………..6…

1-11-    ساختار پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………………….7..

فصل دوم: مباني نظري و پيشينه پژوهش…………………………………………………….8-36

2-1- مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………8

2-2- مباني نظري……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..8

2-2-1- ریسک ورشکستگی……………………………………………………………………………………………………..8

2-2-1-1- مراحل ورشکستگی………………………………………………………………………………………………..9.

2-2-1-2- اندازه گیری ریسک ورشکستگی…………………………………………………………………………..10

2-2-1-3- دلایل ورشکستگی ………………………………………………………………………………………………..12

2-2-2- محدودیت تامین مالی……………………………………………………………………………………………….16

2-2-2-1-تعریف­و­تشریح­محدودیت­تأمین­مالی………………………………………………………………………..17

2-2-2-2-شرکت­های­دچار­محدودیت­تأمین­مالی…………………………………………………………………….18

­2-3-­پیشینه­پژوهش19……………………………………………………………………………

2-3-1- پژوهش داخلی………………………………………………………………………………………………………….19

2-3-2- پژوهش های خارجی………………………………………………………………………………………………29

2-4-خلاصه فصل ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..36

فصل سوم: روش اجراي پژوهش………………………………………………………………….68-49

3-1- مقدمه ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..37

3-2- روش انجام پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………….38

3-3- فرضیه‌های پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………………….38

3-4- متغيرهاي پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..38

3-4-1- متغيرهاي مستقل……………………………………………………………………………………………………….38

3-4-2- متغيرهاي وابسته ……………………………………………………………………………………………………….40

3-4-3- متغيرهاي كنترلي…………………………………………………………………………………………………….41..

3-4-3-1- اهرم مالی………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..42

3-4-3-2- نرخ بازده دارایی‌ها (ROA) ………………………………………………………………………………..42

3-4-3-3- اندازه شرکت……………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 43

3-4-3-4- نقدینگی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………43

3-5- جامعه آماري……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………44

3-6- روش گردآوري داده‌ها…………………………………………………………………………………………………….45

3-7- روش تجزيه و تحليل داده‌ها و آزمون فرضيه‌ها……………………………………………………………..45

3-7-1- روش استفاده از داده ها…………………………………………………………………………………….46….

3-7-2-.­آزمون­ريشه­واحد­در­داده‌هاي­ترکیبی………………………………………………………………………….47

3-8-خلاصه فصل…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..48

فصل چهارم: تجزيه و تحليل داده‌ها……………………………………………………………65-49

4-1- مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………49

4-2- آزمون فرضيه‌هاي پژوهش………………………………………………………………………………………………49

4-2-1-آمارتوصیفی­متغیرها­در­سطح­کل­شرکت­­ها ……………………………………………………………………50

4-2-2- 1- آزمون فرضیه اول…………………………………………………………………………………………………51

4-2-2- 2- آزمون فرضيه دوم………………………………………………………………………………………………..52

­4-2-2-3- آزمون فرضيه سوم…………………………………………………………………………………………………58

4-2-2-4- آزمون فرضيه چهارم……………………………………………………………………………………………..59

4-5- خلاصه فصل…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..65

فصل پنجم: نتيجه‌گيري و پيشنهادها………………………………………………………… 70-66

5-1- مقدمه………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………66

5-2- مروري بر نتايج به دست آمده از پژوهش……………………………………………………………………….66

5-3محدودیت های پژوهش…………………………………………………………………………………………………….68

5-4- پيشنهادهاي پژوهش……………………………………………………………………………………………………….69

5-4-1- پيشنهادهاي حاصل از يافته‌هاي پژوهش…………………………………………………………………..69

5-4-2- پيشنهاد براي پژوهش‌هاي آينده………………………………………………………………………………..69

5-5- خلاصه فصل…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….70

منابع­و­مأخذ……………………………………………………………………………………………76-71

الف- منابع فارسی……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..71

ب- منابع انگلیسی…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….73

پيوست 1: فهرست شركت‌هاي مورد بررسي…………………………………………………………………………….76

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