دانلود پروژه:بررسی اثرات نقدینگی بر نوسان قیمت در بازار مسکن (مطالعه بین کشوری)
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عنوان:
بررسی اثرات نقدینگی بر نوسان قیمت در بازار مسکن
چکیده
اهمیت روزافزون بازار داراییها، بررسی مداوم این بازار را ضروری میسازد. یکی از اجزای مهم سیستم مالی، بازار مسکن است. در سالهای اخیر بازار مسکن همواره با نوسانات سوداگرانه مواجه بوده است. یکی از عوامل اصلی رشد جهشی قیمت مسکن، تقاضای دارایی مسکن است که خود ریشه در مشکلات ساختاری اقتصاد کلان از جمله رشد شتابان نقدینگی و عدم ظرفیتپذیری سایر بخش‌های اقتصادی برای جذب این نقدینگی دارد. حال سؤالی که مطرح میشود این است که آیا نقدینگی جهانی به قیمتهای مسکن سرازیر میشود؟ در این مطالعه اثر نقدینگی بر نوسان قیمت بازار مسکن در ایران و بیست کشور OECD که نوسانات قیمت مسکن در دهههای اخیر در آنها بیشتر از سایر کشورها به چشم میخورد بررسی شده است. روش تجزیه و تحلیل اطلاعات در این پژوهش، روش کمی و در قالب مدلهای اقتصادسنجی Panel Data بوده و با دادههای فصلی ( 2009-1980) و با استفاده از نرمافزار Eviews انجام شده است. ابتدا یک مدل پایه برای تمامی کشورهای منتخب برآورد شده و سپس کشورها به دو گروه کشورهای دارای درآمد نفتی و کشورهای فاقد درآمد نفتی تقسیم شده و نتایج حاصل از رگرسیون با هم مقایسه شده‌اند و در نهایت به بررسی اثرات ناشی از بحران نقدینگی 2008 بر قیمت مسکن کشورهای نفتخیز پرداخته شده است. نتایج تخمینها حاکی از آن است که در کل مدلهای مورد مطالعه نقدینگی اثر مثبت و به شدت معنیداری بر قیمت مسکن دارد و سهم قابل توجهی از نوسانات قیمت مسکن توسط نقدینگی موجود در این بخش توضیح داده میشود. در مدل کشورهای دارای درآمد نفتی، کشش و اثر نهایی نقدینگی بزرگتر از مدل پایه و مدل کشورهای فاقد درآمد نفتی است، در نتیجه در کشورهای نفتخیز نقدینگی اثر بزرگتری بر قیمت مسکن دارد. همچنین در بحران مالی 2008، درآمدهای نفتی به عنوان کانال نقدینگی اثر منفی بر قیمت مسکن در کشورهای نفتخیز منتخب داشتهاند.
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This AI content writing tool is the perfect way to create content that will stand out and help your website rank higher on Google. It will also generate unique images related to the keywords and descriptions you provide. You can create unlimited content as there is no word limit.
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– Ultimate SERP tool: Competitor analysis with top 10 of SERP, analyzes with NLP, and helps create content on them
– Unique image generator
– 60 days money back guarantee
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It gives you everything you need to monitor UNLIMITED KEYWORDS, core keywords, and brand-related keywords.
Keep tabs on growth trends for top URLs and keywords, as well as keyword evolution maps, so your content strategy is always on point.
You can even calculate the performance of URLs, folders, and subdomains to tackle any immediate issues head on!
** Instead of spending hours identifying priorities and opportunities, let SEOcrawl generate actionable SEO reports on the spot.
Features included in all plans
– Actionable SEO reports
– Download data (CSV, Excel, Google Sheets)
– Task management for users
– Keyword, URL, and folder rank tracker
– Automatic weekly and monthly SEO report
– 10 languages and all future languages supported (English, French, German, Italian, Spanish, Romanian, Turkish, Polish, Russian)
– SEO extension for Google Chrome
– SEO insights with AI and automated analysis